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Red56
874916.9
905415.3
331034.7
Blue102
712122.8
14836.4
912116.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64780204010012014016056102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#13
34.70.2
31.731.5
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
blue by 1.8
148
#5
36.41.9
32.734.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Second
8749
#37
16.90.2
16.716.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 5.8
7121
#19
22.81.9
22.023.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Third
9054
#22
15.30.2
10.810.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.4
blue by 1.4
9121
#29
16.71.9
14.015.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned