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Red65
284821.5
887416.7
852816.2
Blue74
415315.1
71156.7
420635.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585102040801006574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#33
21.50.5
20.521.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End0.8
blue by 14.0
35.51.3
30.031.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End3.1
Second
8874
#25
16.70.5
15.616.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 1.6
4153
#26
15.11.3
12.814.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Third
8528
#36
16.20.5
15.816.3
Auto8.7
Teleop6.9
End0.7
red by 9.5
7115
#40
6.71.3
4.25.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed