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Red68
908813.0
62435.5
542726.4
Blue49
941824.5
817717.6
905415.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754802040601001201406849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
35.50.2
29.629.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.8
End3.2
red by 11.0
9418
#16
24.50.2
21.021.1
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
Second
26.40.2
23.724.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 8.8
8177
#32
17.60.2
14.714.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Third
9088
#35
13.00.2
11.111.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 2.3
9054
#22
15.30.2
10.610.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed