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Red113
905415.3
542726.4
384746.8
Blue55
415315.1
97863.3
680034.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874802040608010012014011355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.81.8
39.341.1
Auto19.6
Teleop21.4
End5.7
red by 12.3
34.50.5
31.732.2
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End3.8
Second
26.41.8
24.025.8
Auto11.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 11.3
4153
#26
15.10.5
14.114.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Third
9054
#22
15.31.8
10.812.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.4
red by 12.0
9786
#43
3.30.5
2.32.7
Auto1.3
Teleop1.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsEarned