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Red58
908015.0
636926.5
129629.1
Blue65
14836.4
32427.8
415315.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68854060801001201405865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#14
29.10.3
28.027.7
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
blue by 7.3
148
#5
36.40.7
35.835.1
Auto12.5
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Second
6369
#11
26.50.3
21.220.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
blue by 1.3
324
#9
27.80.7
24.623.9
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End0.8
Third
9080
#21
15.00.3
14.013.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 0.2
4153
#26
15.10.7
14.613.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed