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Red36
648812.8
905415.3
71156.7
Blue82
62435.5
808827.4
28827.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2576040601001203682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9054
#22
15.30.1
12.612.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.5
End2.4
blue by 20.2
624
#4
35.51.3
31.032.2
Auto10.5
Teleop21.8
End3.2
Second
6488
#34
12.80.1
10.210.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End2.2
blue by 14.6
8088
#12
27.41.3
27.128.4
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Third
7115
#40
6.70.1
6.26.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 1.1
2882
#42
7.81.3
5.06.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed