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Red70
543127.5
908813.0
912116.7
Blue74
415315.1
406330.8
557225.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518302040601001201407074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.51.1
23.224.2
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
blue by 3.3
4063
#10
30.80.3
30.430.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End2.1
Second
9121
#29
16.71.1
15.116.2
Auto5.3
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 9.1
25.80.3
26.526.2
Auto11.9
Teleop13.1
End0.8
Third
9088
#35
13.01.1
11.312.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.6
blue by 2.1
4153
#26
15.10.3
14.614.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed