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Red98
680034.5
543127.5
941824.5
Blue57
71156.7
808827.4
331034.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73684060801009857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.2
30.232.4
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End3.8
blue by 0.2
3310
#13
34.70.3
28.227.9
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Second
27.52.2
17.920.1
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End1.9
red by 0.2
8088
#12
27.40.3
26.025.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.4
End1.7
Third
9418
#16
24.52.2
17.319.4
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
red by 17.8
7115
#40
6.70.3
7.77.4
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed