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Red48
817717.6
406330.8
268919.7
Blue85
14836.4
887416.7
636926.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74904060801001201404885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#10
30.81.4
31.930.5
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End2.1
blue by 5.6
148
#5
36.40.7
36.635.9
Auto12.5
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Second
2689
#23
19.71.4
19.318.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 6.8
6369
#11
26.50.7
26.425.7
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Third
8177
#32
17.61.4
17.516.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
red by 0.8
8874
#25
16.70.7
16.916.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned