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Red106
271424.1
129629.1
712122.8
Blue89
636926.5
419221.0
542726.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78815060709010011010689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#14
29.10.7
27.528.2
Auto11.1
Teleop15.8
End2.2
red by 2.6
6369
#11
26.50.2
26.326.5
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End0.3
Second
2714
#30
24.10.7
22.523.2
Auto7.9
Teleop14.4
End1.8
blue by 2.3
26.40.2
26.226.4
Auto11.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Third
7121
#19
22.80.7
21.121.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.2
red by 1.8
4192
#15
21.00.2
20.721.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.3
End1.4