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Red50
941824.5
406330.8
32427.8
Blue131
331034.7
268919.7
62435.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92955060708010011012013050131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#10
30.80.7
31.030.2
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End2.1
blue by 4.7
624
#4
35.50.9
34.034.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.8
End3.2
Second
324
#9
27.80.7
28.027.2
Auto7.5
Teleop19.6
End0.8
blue by 6.9
3310
#13
34.70.9
33.134.0
Auto11.5
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
9418
#16
24.50.7
24.723.9
Auto11.3
Teleop10.2
End3.0
red by 4.8
2689
#23
19.70.9
18.219.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.0
End0.7