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Red146
300549.7
589221.7
11841.9
Blue82
331033.9
268919.0
62434.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127935015020014682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
49.70.8
48.949.7
Auto15.7
Teleop29.9
End4.0
red by 14.9
624
Unranked
34.80.1
34.934.8
Auto10.4
Teleop21.1
End3.3
Second
118
Unranked
41.90.8
41.141.9
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End6.7
red by 8.0
3310
Unranked
33.90.1
34.133.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.3
End4.3
Third
5892
Unranked
21.70.8
21.021.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.2
End1.6
red by 2.8
2689
Unranked
19.00.1
19.119.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.3
End0.8