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Red46
271422.3
129628.0
521212.0
Blue91
667236.7
885816.0
14835.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6610340801201401604691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.5
28.528.0
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 8.7
36.70.1
36.836.7
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
Second
2714
#10
22.30.5
22.822.3
Auto10.3
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 13.4
148
#1
35.80.1
35.935.8
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
Third
5212
#15
12.00.5
12.512.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 4.0
8858
#18
16.00.1
16.116.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5