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Red38
43644.9
876910.0
914020.3
Blue50
43328.0
14835.8
464121.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2265040801001203850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.5
13.013.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
blue by 15.4
148
#1
35.80.2
28.628.4
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
Second
8769
#21
10.00.5
9.410.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 11.8
21.80.2
17.016.8
Auto10.2
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Third
4364
#41
4.90.5
2.93.4
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 3.2
4332
#38
8.00.2
7.87.5
Auto2.0
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed