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Red67
14835.8
521212.0
541712.8
Blue23
461010.9
65265.0
43644.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641002040801006723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
35.81.1
27.428.5
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 24.9
4610
#27
10.90.2
7.88.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Second
5417
#12
12.81.1
12.713.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End0.5
red by 7.8
6526
#30
5.00.2
5.45.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.8
End-0.1
Third
5212
#15
12.01.1
10.912.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 7.2
4364
#41
4.90.2
2.42.6
Auto1.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed