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Red17
91567.4
941817.3
271422.3
Blue50
95067.3
914020.3
801920.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5643020801001750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#10
22.32.1
23.821.7
Auto10.3
Teleop10.3
End1.7
red by 2.0
20.30.7
15.716.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Second
17.32.1
17.915.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
blue by 3.0
20.20.7
16.917.5
Auto7.4
Teleop12.0
End0.9
Third
9156
#17
7.42.1
7.35.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End0.4
red by 0.1
9506
#36
7.30.7
7.68.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed