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Red39
521212.0
91567.4
47174.2
Blue81
667236.7
86257.3
914020.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206804060801001203981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5212
#15
12.00.3
12.912.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
blue by 24.7
36.71.3
31.032.3
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
Second
9156
#17
7.40.3
5.14.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 12.9
20.31.3
16.317.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.1
End1.1
Third
4717
#34
4.20.3
5.55.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 3.0
8625
#37
7.31.3
8.59.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed