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Red38
73215.8
711911.6
463919.3
Blue64
941817.3
667236.7
712119.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256604060801001203864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#14
19.30.7
16.817.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.7
End1.9
blue by 17.4
36.70.6
25.025.6
Auto12.2
Teleop22.2
End2.3
Second
7119
#33
11.60.7
10.010.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 8.0
19.60.6
14.415.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Third
7321
#42
5.80.7
0.71.4
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.7
blue by 11.4
17.30.6
15.315.9
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed