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Red63
271422.3
521212.0
543117.9
Blue65
129628.0
88166.4
887416.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625302040801001206365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#10
22.31.0
22.321.3
Auto10.3
Teleop10.3
End1.7
blue by 5.7
28.00.4
27.427.8
Auto10.9
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Second
5431
#22
17.91.0
19.017.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
red by 1.6
8874
#11
16.30.4
15.315.7
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.2
Third
5212
#15
12.01.0
13.412.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 5.6
8816
#43
6.40.5
6.36.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned