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Red46
876910.0
903413.0
941817.3
Blue27
750611.5
70917.6
88166.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48270204060801004627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.3
16.817.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 5.7
7506
#40
11.50.3
11.711.4
Auto6.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Second
13.00.3
13.413.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End1.6
red by 5.4
7091
#26
7.60.3
8.17.8
Auto5.4
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Third
8769
#21
10.00.3
10.610.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 3.6
8816
#43
6.40.3
6.86.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed