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Red48
258314.0
578813.4
543117.9
Blue63
14835.8
461010.9
73215.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485602040801004863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#22
17.90.2
17.918.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.2
blue by 17.9
148
#1
35.80.6
33.834.4
Auto14.7
Teleop16.6
End4.5
Second
2583
#35
14.00.2
13.113.4
Auto6.5
Teleop6.2
End1.3
red by 3.1
4610
#27
10.90.6
10.310.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Third
5788
#25
13.40.2
13.413.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 7.5
7321
#42
5.80.6
5.35.8
Auto3.9
Teleop1.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed