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Red32
258223.2
42510.5
75346.5
Blue73
754011.3
541112.5
750310.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47310204060801003273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
24.523.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 10.7
5411
#16
12.52.5
15.317.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Second
7534
#25
6.51.0
10.69.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 4.8
7540
#22
11.32.5
8.310.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Third
4251
#31
0.51.0
5.44.5
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
blue by 9.7
7503
#10
10.21.5
6.78.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed