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Red33
949212.2
910519.2
750310.2
Blue70
73210.7
331028.2
268723.1
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326302040801003370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#18
19.20.1
16.616.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 9.0
28.21.1
26.928.0
Auto11.8
Teleop12.9
End3.5
Second
9492
#13
12.25.8
15.19.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0
blue by 10.9
23.11.1
17.618.7
Auto12.5
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Third
7503
#10
10.20.0
6.76.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.5
red by 9.5
7321
#29DQ
0.71.6
8.910.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned