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Red81
94074.5
246841.3
908814.6
Blue24
258223.2
750611.4
949212.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565001001502008124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.8
36.437.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.7
End1.9
red by 18.1
23.21.4
24.222.8
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
9088
#11
14.60.8
13.814.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.2
red by 2.4
9492
#13
12.22.4
9.87.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0
Third
9407
#19
4.50.8
0.00.8
Auto1.5
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 6.9
7506
#17
11.42.4
11.69.2
Auto6.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed