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Red58
42950.3
754011.3
331028.2
Blue29
41817.2
750310.2
90807.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50330204060805829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.3
30.029.6
Auto11.8
Teleop12.9
End3.5
red by 11.0
418
#20
17.20.9
19.218.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Second
7540
#22
11.30.6
8.17.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End0.5
red by 1.2
7503
#10
10.20.9
8.17.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Third
4295
#28
0.30.6
5.04.5
Auto0.5
Teleop-0.9
End0.6
blue by 7.3
9080
#24
7.51.4
4.73.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed