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Red35
268914.6
420615.4
415312.4
Blue64
667225.0
750611.4
908814.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3941203050603564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.40.1
14.114.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
blue by 9.7
25.02.0
12.214.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Second
2689
#15
14.60.1
13.413.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.7
blue by 0.1
9088
#11
14.61.2
14.515.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.2
Third
4153
#12
12.40.2
9.39.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
red by 1.0
7506
#17
11.42.0
9.211.2
Auto6.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed