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Red65
74929.7
268723.1
910519.2
Blue22
42510.5
90815.9
541112.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5919040801006522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.1
20.421.5
Auto12.5
Teleop9.8
End0.9
red by 10.6
5411
#16
12.50.0
13.313.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Second
9105
#18
19.21.8
16.818.6
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 13.3
9081
#30
5.90.0
6.96.9
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Third
7492
#21
9.71.1
11.412.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.9
red by 9.3
4251
#31
0.50.0
1.81.7
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed