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Red52
246841.3
420615.4
91568.3
Blue86
667225.0
949212.2
541112.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723902060801001201405286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.6
39.839.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.7
End1.9
red by 16.3
25.02.5
17.319.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.0
Second
15.40.6
13.112.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
red by 2.8
5411
#16
12.52.5
12.214.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
9156
#26
8.30.9
8.47.5
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End0.5
blue by 3.9
9492
#13
12.22.5
10.112.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned