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Red85
94074.5
268723.1
808826.0
Blue28
949212.2
415312.4
41817.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60452040801008528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.2
25.525.7
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End0.7
red by 8.8
418
#20
17.20.3
17.517.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Second
23.10.2
22.722.8
Auto12.5
Teleop9.8
End0.9
red by 10.7
4153
#12
12.40.3
12.712.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
9407
#19
4.50.2
4.14.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 7.7
9492
#13
12.20.3
12.612.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0