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Red63
90807.5
420615.4
667225.0
Blue38
258223.2
91568.3
541112.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465110203040607080906338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
23.223.5
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.0
red by 1.8
23.20.3
23.623.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
15.40.3
13.513.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
red by 2.8
5411
#16
12.50.3
12.912.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
9080
#24
7.50.3
5.76.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 0.8
9156
#26
8.30.3
8.78.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End0.5