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Red48
41817.2
415312.4
949212.2
Blue43
258223.2
91568.3
541112.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47492030406070804843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#20
17.20.0
17.517.5
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 6.0
23.20.1
23.323.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
Second
4153
#12
12.40.0
12.712.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
blue by 0.1
5411
#16
12.50.1
12.712.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
9492
#13
12.20.0
12.612.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0
red by 3.9
9156
#26
8.30.1
8.48.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End0.5