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Red36
45877.3
25857.3
348117.5
Blue55
947821.9
61806.9
373521.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25400102030506070803655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#12
17.50.3
13.313.6
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 4.3
21.91.4
14.616.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Second
7.30.5
6.67.1
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
blue by 13.9
21.21.4
16.818.2
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Third
4587
#18
7.30.3
4.44.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 0.4
6180
#14
6.91.4
2.84.2
Auto5.3
Teleop0.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed