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Red22
83925.7
91819.9
93076.3
Blue82
95158.4
851518.7
373521.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184804060801002282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9181
#16
9.90.1
7.97.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End6.5
blue by 11.3
21.20.3
18.217.9
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Second
9307
#15
6.30.1
6.56.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 12.5
18.70.3
12.612.3
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Third
8392
#26
5.70.2
5.85.6
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 2.7
9515
#23
8.40.3
9.49.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed