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Red46
83925.7
947821.9
52617.7
Blue15
95158.4
95175.4
93076.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3717060804615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.0
16.017.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
red by 13.5
9515
#23
8.40.2
9.18.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Second
5261
#25
7.71.6
9.711.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 1.4
9307
#15
6.30.2
6.36.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Third
8392
#26
5.71.6
5.67.2
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
red by 0.2
9517
#20
5.40.2
2.72.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed