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Red27
71157.4
45877.3
64887.5
Blue29
83925.7
837012.4
91819.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2229010405060702729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6488
#24
7.50.5
7.06.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 4.8
8370
#17
12.40.2
10.710.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Second
7115
#11
7.40.9
6.96.1
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.5
blue by 2.5
9181
#16
9.90.1
8.99.0
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End6.5
Third
4587
#18
7.30.5
6.86.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 1.6
8392
#26
5.70.2
5.75.9
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed