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Red63
541436.6
61806.9
11839.4
Blue80
384737.3
81448.4
947821.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9669204060801201406380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
39.40.8
39.438.6
Auto16.9
Teleop18.5
End4.1
red by 2.2
37.30.3
36.636.9
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
36.60.8
36.635.8
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End0.6
red by 14.8
21.90.3
21.221.5
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Third
6180
#14
6.90.8
7.76.9
Auto5.3
Teleop0.2
End1.4
blue by 1.5
8144
#21
8.40.3
7.78.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.0