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Red49
348117.5
95175.4
837012.4
Blue25
855610.8
769111.8
25857.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39340501001502004925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#12
17.50.1
17.217.3
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 5.8
11.80.3
12.111.8
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
8370
#17
12.40.1
12.012.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 1.5
8556
#13
10.80.3
11.210.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Third
9517
#20
5.40.1
5.15.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 1.9
7.30.3
7.77.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4