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Red33
52617.7
951215.6
75215.8
Blue42
91819.9
952112.2
64887.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132152025354045503342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.1
15.515.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End0.7
red by 3.4
9521
#10
12.20.2
11.812.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Second
5261
#25
7.70.1
7.67.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 2.2
9181
#16
9.90.2
9.59.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End6.5
Third
7521
#27
5.80.1
5.75.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 1.8
6488
#24
7.50.2
7.27.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0