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Red101
761612.7
857615.8
11826.7
Blue32
23123.2
66457.5
62421.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5660020408010012014016010132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
26.70.9
25.426.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 3.5
231
#5
23.20.5
23.923.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
15.80.9
14.515.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
blue by 5.3
624
#2
21.00.5
21.721.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
Third
7616
#25
12.70.9
11.412.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 5.2
6645
#16
7.50.5
8.27.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.2