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Red41
28824.9
857615.8
296910.0
Blue16
761612.7
947811.7
37283.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363110204050604116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.80.4
13.213.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 3.1
7616
#25
12.71.4
10.99.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Second
2969
#13
10.00.4
8.99.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 1.7
9478
#11
11.712.9
20.77.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
2882
#28
4.90.4
10.210.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
red by 1.8
3728
#37
3.11.4
8.47.0
Auto1.7
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed