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Red14
45873.9
11826.7
43282.4
Blue23
12555.2
947811.7
81446.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422201030506070801423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
26.72.4
21.418.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 14.9
9478
#11
11.70.0
7.87.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Second
4587
#23
3.92.4
8.46.0
Auto1.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 2.9
8144
#12
6.80.0
6.26.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Third
4328
#38
2.42.4
6.13.7
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.0
blue by 2.8
1255
#27
5.20.0
8.68.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed