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Red26
951211.9
23123.2
857615.8
Blue38
28824.9
11826.7
90511.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242203050602638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#5
23.21.4
17.616.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
blue by 3.5
118
#4
26.70.1
18.919.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
Second
15.81.4
12.711.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 10.9
2882
#28
4.90.1
11.211.3
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
Third
9512
#14
11.91.4
8.06.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
red by 10.3
9051
#33
1.60.1
6.97.0
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed