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Red9
95173.8
81446.8
93075.7
Blue27
296910.0
749213.3
37283.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183101040506070927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8144
#12
6.81.0
6.25.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 6.5
7492
#20
13.30.0
12.712.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Second
9307
#26
5.71.0
7.26.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
blue by 4.3
2969
#13
10.00.0
8.58.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
9517
#32
3.81.0
4.33.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
red by 0.7
3728
#37
3.10.0
5.55.6
Auto1.7
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed