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Red2
94485.6
95215.8
81446.8
Blue58
23123.2
731218.2
64886.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2938010205060258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8144
#12
6.82.8
9.06.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 16.4
231
#5
23.22.2
14.716.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
9521
#19
5.85.9
12.26.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 12.4
18.22.2
9.511.7
Auto8.2
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Third
9448
#21
5.62.0
8.36.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 0.5
6.12.2
9.111.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned