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Red6
37283.1
45873.9
64886.1
Blue26
83693.8
951211.9
92892.7
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201701030405060626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.11.3
10.08.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
blue by 5.8
9512
#14
11.90.6
8.28.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Second
4587
#23
3.91.3
4.63.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
red by 0.1
8369
#22
3.80.6
5.76.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Third
3728
#37
3.11.3
3.21.8
Auto1.7
Teleop0.9
End0.5
red by 0.4
9289
#40
2.70.6
1.72.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed