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Red67
258224.0
66457.5
857615.8
Blue10
83693.8
12555.2
91218.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471102030406070806710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.01.9
22.924.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End1.5
red by 16.0
9121
#34
8.10.5
3.53.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
Second
15.81.9
10.212.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 10.6
1255
#27
5.20.5
4.44.0
Auto2.8
Teleop0.2
End2.2
Third
6645
#16
7.51.9
5.17.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.2
red by 3.6
8369
#22
3.80.5
6.35.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed