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Red6
30291.7
12555.2
95173.8
Blue17
951211.9
88183.9
85568.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332910204050617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1255
#27
5.23.2
11.88.6
Auto2.8
Teleop0.2
End2.2
blue by 6.7
9512
#14
11.97.0
14.77.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Second
9517
#32
3.80.6
5.46.0
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 4.4
8556
#10
8.21.5
8.56.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Third
3029
#39
1.73.2
8.45.3
Auto0.9
Teleop0.3
End0.5
blue by 2.2
8818
#35
3.91.5
9.07.5
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed