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Red32
147725.2
749213.3
64886.1
Blue37
857615.8
11826.7
95173.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437102030506070803237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.9
19.618.7
Auto9.4
Teleop14.4
End1.4
blue by 1.4
118
#4
26.70.3
18.919.2
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
Second
7492
#20
13.30.9
10.89.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 2.5
15.80.3
12.112.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Third
6.11.0
8.67.6
Auto0.9
Teleop4.0
End1.2
red by 2.3
9517
#32
3.80.3
3.13.4
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed