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Red42
95144.8
94485.6
11826.7
Blue49
749213.3
83693.8
90816.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351801030405060704249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
26.71.0
22.023.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 13.4
7492
#20
13.31.7
10.812.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Second
9448
#21
5.61.1
3.54.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 0.4
9081
#24
6.01.5
4.25.7
Auto1.3
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Third
9514
#36
4.81.1
4.45.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.9
red by 1.0
8369
#22
3.81.7
3.04.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed