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Red76
129623.0
914031.9
557222.3
Blue58
712123.4
99922.0
271429.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975201507658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.1
33.432.3
Auto11.8
Teleop18.9
End1.2
red by 2.3
2714
#15
29.60.3
27.027.3
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End1.4
Second
23.01.1
24.723.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.8
End2.0
blue by 0.4
23.40.3
22.122.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
5572
#18
22.31.1
24.523.4
Auto11.1
Teleop10.8
End0.5
red by 20.3
9992
#30
2.00.6
3.84.4
Auto0.9
Teleop0.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed